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junio 11, 2026
Setting Realistic Yield Targets in Times of Fertilizer Scarcity
The Yield Potential and Yield Gap Atlas (ATLAS) helps farmers and agronomists estimate how much crops can realistically produce under local conditions by combining data on climate, soils, crop management, and agronomy. By comparing yield potential with actual farm yields, ATLAS identifies yield gaps and provides a science-based foundation for setting achievable production goals.
me sacas los enters que cortan oraciones aca: Setting realistic yield targets is becoming increasingly important in today’s agricultural
context, marked by fertilizer shortages, rising input costs, and tighter farm budgets. Under
these conditions, improving the efficiency of nutrient management is no longer only an
economic priority but also a key component of sustainable crop production.
One of the biggest challenges farmers and agronomists face is determining how much yield
can realistically be achieved under specific environmental and management conditions.
Applying fertilizers based on unrealistic expectations can lead to unnecessary costs, lower
profitability, and inefficient use of resources. On the other hand, underestimating crop
potential may limit productivity and reduce opportunities to optimize production systems.
This is where the Yield Potential and Yield Gap Atlas (ATLAS) plays a critical role.
ATLAS estimates yield potential for major crops across agricultural regions worldwide by
integrating agronomic, climatic, soil, and management data. Yield potential represents the
yield that a crop can achieve under optimal management, without limitations from nutrients,
and no yield reductions due to pests or diseases. By comparing this potential with actual
farm yields, researchers can identify yield gaps and better understand the factors limiting
productivity.
These estimates provide an essential foundation for setting realistic yield targets at both field
and regional scales. For systems where farmers have access to markets, inputs, and
technical information, reaching 70% to 80% of the yield potential is a realistic goal to
maximize return on investment. In turn, realistic yield targets help guide more informed farm
decisions, particularly regarding fertilizer applications and nutrient management strategies.
In periods of fertilizer scarcity or high fertilizer prices, the ability to align nutrient inputs with
attainable crop yields becomes especially valuable. Rather than relying on blanket
recommendations, farmers and advisors can use yield potential information, together with
their field history, to optimize fertilizer use according to local conditions, prices, and expected
productivity levels.
Beyond nutrient management, realistic yield targets also support:
* Better economic planning
* Improved risk management
* More efficient resource allocation
* Enhanced environmental sustainability
* Reduced nutrient losses and environmental impact
At a global scale, ATLAS contributes to a broader understanding of agricultural productivity
and food system sustainability by generating standardized and science-based estimates
across crops, countries, and production systems.
As agriculture continues to face increasing pressure from climate variability, input shortages,
and the need to sustainably increase food production, tools that help improve decision-
making through data-driven agronomy will become increasingly important.
Understanding what crops can realistically produce — and the factors preventing them from
reaching that potential — is essential for building more productive, efficient, and resilient
agricultural systems.